In The Future, Artificial Intelligence Will Replace 50% Of American Jobs

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What will people do on Labor Day in 2030? What will happen in five years from now? Will your work continue? What skills does your employer need? No one can predict the future with complete certainty, but as technology advances make certain jobs obsolete and at the same time opens up new opportunities, the development of the workforce is in a state of subversion.

To be sure, the world will need to hire more people engaged in data collection and analysis by 2030. In fact, given the development trajectory of big data analysis and artificial intelligence and where people are today, the world needs more data scientists and engineers within 10 years.

This is a good thing for most people, who will participate in the construction of data analysis and artificial intelligence systems. However, if you happen to work in other fields, be prepared, because the automation of software-based machine learning systems and hardware-based robotics infused with artificial intelligence will cause a lot of job losses.

Take self-driving cars as an example. Approximately five million Americans are car drivers, but once self-driving cars and trucks are on the road, these jobs will start to disappear.

Self-driving trucks have shown what they can do on public roads, despite the presence of humans as backup drivers. However, according to Chuck Price, Chief Product Officer of Tu Simple, a developer of software systems for self-driving trucks in the United States, they will drive on highways in a fully autonomous manner in 2021.

He said: "We believe that in 2021 we will be able to conduct the first driving demonstration on public highways. From then on, 3.5 million truck drivers in the country will check advertisements that need help, not weather and traffic stops. This is just time. problem."

Advances in deep learning technology enable cars and trucks to "see" things around them and make good decisions based on sensory data. These advances in deep learning are also used to create chatbots that can read, listen, and talk in a human way .

With the development of natural language processing (NLP), chatbots are mature enough to take over staff in fields such as telemarketing and computer support experts, whose jobs are all threatened by artificial intelligence technology.

In the book "Artificial Intelligence Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley and the New World Order" published by Kai-Fu Lee, known as the "Oracle of Artificial Intelligence" in 2018, he said that many abstract artificial intelligence research work has been completed and now Only need to implement the algorithm.

He wrote: "Based on current technological progress and adoption trends, I expect that within 15 years, artificial intelligence will be able to replace about 40% to 50% of the work in the United States."

According to the 2018 Financial Sector Work Report compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, bookkeepers and bank tellers are also expected to be replaced by artificial intelligence-driven automation technology.

Additional attributes of artificial intelligence

However, this news is not all depressing information. Although artificial intelligence can replace some jobs, some positions will also increase, including financial managers and personal financial advisors.

BLS wrote in its 2018 survey report: “As the complexity of risk management makes it difficult to automate, artificial intelligence is expected to become a supplementary tool for risk managers, not a substitute, rather than the situation in many other professions. ."

Cybersecurity is another area where workers can benefit from artificial intelligence instead of losing their jobs. A recent survey by White Hat Security found that more than 70% of respondents agree that “artificial intelligence-based tools can improve the efficiency of their cybersecurity teams by eliminating more than 55% of daily tasks.

According to a research report written by the Future Institute for Dell Technologies in 2018, artificial intelligence will provide new jobs that people have not yet thought of. 85% of the jobs that will exist by 2030 have not even been invented.

The report states: “The speed of technological change will be so fast that people can use new technologies such as augmented reality and virtual reality to learn'immediately'. The ability to acquire new knowledge will be more valuable than knowledge itself."

Leo SaLemi, a professor at George Brown College, said that titles like "blockchain engineer" will emerge to fill the labor gap created by technological advancement.

SaLemi said, “Because this is an emerging field with little formal training, blockchain engineers need to feel comfortable in the learning process. Blockchain engineers must be junior economists, API developers, data geeks and A mix of auditors."

Obviously, emerging artificial intelligence technology will have a disruptive impact on the world labor market just like past technological breakthroughs. White-collar jobs that require repetitive cognitive abilities (such as accounting and radiology) risk being replaced by software-based artificial intelligence robots and robotic process automation. Similarly, blue-collar jobs such as truck drivers and warehouse workers also risk replacing them with artificial intelligence robots.

But this subversion will also create more jobs, not just for those who develop artificial intelligence technology.

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